The science of probability proves that Jesus Christ is the Messiah

The science of probability is also known as ‘odds’ which is a mathematic way of measuring the likelihood that a given event will occur.

For example:

  • Being hit by lightning in one year = 7 x 105 or 1 in 700,000
  • Losing your life to lightning in one year = 2 x 106 or 1 in 2,000,000
  • Becoming president = 1 x 107 or 1 in 10,000,000
  • A meteorite hitting your house = 1.8 x 1014 or 1 in 180,000,000,000,000
  • You will ultimately die = 1 in 1

As you can see, the probability of being hit by lightning, becoming president, or even having a meteorite land on your house, gradually increases, given the event; nevertheless, somebody somewhere will be that 1 in 10x, and that somebody could be you.

If you were told the correct lottery numbers for the next 10 lottery draws would you be fully convinced that the 11th set of numbers would come out as predicted? A similar scenario can be said for the prophecies in the bible where over 355 prophecies were fulfilled by one single person. The chance of one man fulfilling all of these prophecies would be the same as if the entire UK was filled with footballs up to your knees. One of these footballs is bright green and after you place one man blindfolded, you ask him to find the green football first time. What is the chance of that happening? There is very little chance.

The table below calculates the mathematical chance of just a few of the prophecies in the Bible actually happening during the time of their fulfilment.  It is more likely that a meteor would fall from space and hit you, than you being able to guess every correct number in the lottery and win. Yet people still play the lottery, and people still win! But here is where it gets harder, as who has won the lottery 8 times in a row? how about 300 times in a row? There are approx 355 prophecies that were written down and fulfilled with 100% accuracy by one person, Jesus Christ. These prophecies were written down hundreds of years before they happened.

We must agree on this point surely? If the writings of the Old Testament, were completed by Jesus, in the New Testament, 1 of 2 things have happened…. Either God gave the prophecies to the prophets, or the prophets just wrote them down on a whim, and because Jesus fulfilled all 8 in the table below what are the odds that the so Prophets of God were just having a guess?

The Biblical Scriptures show that Jesus Christ fulfilled not just these 8 prophecies but over 355 prophecies so that we would believe that He is the one who was sent by God to save the people from their sins and offer them the free gift of eternal life. “For with God nothing shall be impossible.” Luke 1:37

Calculations Regarding Messianic Prophecy

Date written Prophecy Probability Prophecy


Approx 700 years Micah 5:2

The Messiah will be born in


The average population of Bethlehem from the time of Micah to the present (1958) divided by the average population of the earth during the same period

= 7,150/2,000,000,000 or 2.8×105.


Matthew 2:4-5

“And when he had gathered all the chief priests and scribes of the people together, he demanded of them where Christ should be born. And they said unto him, In Bethlehem of Judaea: for thus it is written by the prophet,”


Approx 445 BC Malachi 3:1

A messenger would prepare the way for the Messiah


One Man, known as John the Baptist was sent to bear witness of Jesus

Estimate: 1 in 1,000 or 1×103.

Matthew 3:1-3

Mark 1:1-6

These scriptures talk about john coming before the messiah to pave the way for him


Approx 520 bc Zechariah 9:9

The Messiah would enter Jerusalem riding on a donkey

What king have you ever heard of riding a donkey into the city?

Estimate: 1 in 100 or 1×102.

Matthew 21:4-7

Talks of jesus riding an ass into the city

Approx 520 bc Zechariah 13:6

The Messiah will be betrayed by a friend and suffer wounds in His hands

How many people have been betrayed, Let alone resulting in wounds in the hands!

1 in 1,000 or 1×103.


 Matthew 26:49-50

Psalm 22:16

Judas betrayed with a kiss, and later, he was Curfifed resulting in hands and feet pieced

Approx 520bc Zechariah 11:12

The messiah would be given over and betrayed for 30 pieces of silver

Do you know, anyone who got betrayed for 30 pieces of silver?

Estimate: 1 in 1,000 or 1×103.

Matthew 26:15

Mark 14:10-11

This shows us Judas took 30 pieces of silver to betray Jesus the messiah

Approx 520bc Zechariah 11:13

The money used to betray the messiah would be used to buy a field

Betrayed, wounded in the hands and feet and money used for a field?

1 in 100,000 or 1×105

Matthew 27:9–10

Descriptures how the money was spent on a potters field

Approx. 8bc Isaiah 53:7

The messiah would remain silent while he is afflicted

Tell me someone who never talked back, even though there innocent, would not make a defense?

1 in 1,000 or 1×103.

Mark 15:3-5

1 Peter 2:21-25

These talk about how he didn’t speak back to the people, and defended his self not

Approx 300 bc Psalms 22:16

The Messiah would have his hands and feet pierced during before his death

How many have been crucified, and died this way?

Estimate: 1 in 10,000 or 1×104.

John 19:17-18

Talks about crucifixion

Psalms 22

Jesus even quoted the first line of the psalm on the cross, so people would look at it, and see the prophecy unfold in front of them

References: Dr. John Stoner, author of Science Speaks


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